VICTORIA – The final recounts including absentee ballots will be done next week which can either confirm the results known now – BC Liberals 43, NDP 41 and Greens 3 – or it could turn the tide in favor of the Liberals with an added seat for a 44 seat majority or even towards the NDP with a final count of 42 or 43 seats, both of which are unlikely scenarios and according to experts the final count on election night will remain as is.
But one thing is clear by many accounts including polls done this week that said British Columbians do not want a BC Liberal and Green coalition.
According to a new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll, BC voters don't think it's a good idea for Christy Clark government to rule with the Greens given that if they remain at 43 – they have been readily rejected by the voters and shouldn't govern in a coalition with Greens, who are even left of the NDP and have policies that closely align with that party rather than the right of centre Liberals.
Mainstreet Research poll found that just 27 per cent of British Columbians would approve of a Green-Liberal coalition.
The majority of respondents, 58 per cent, said they would prefer the Green party to work with the governing party on a issue-by-issue basis rather than joining a formal coalition.
If there were to be a coalition, however, the preference was overwhelmingly for the Greens to work with the NDP — with 57 per cent saying they would approve.
The poll indicated a large segment of voters are still unsure of how they feel about the outcome.
“That points to the fact that people I think expect to see some change in the way the government operates, and not necessarily seeing some formal arrangement between the Greens and either party,” said Quito Maggi, President and CEO of Mainstreet Research.
“The vast majority of British Columbians expect this government to last between one and two years and that points to the danger of a snap election possibility.”
One surprising revelation from this poll is which party should run the province.
“Overall, 51 per cent of voters say the NDP should form the next government — including 27 per cent of Liberal voters. Among NDP voters the number is overwhelming (89 per cent) — perhaps more importantly Green voters say the NDP should form the next government over the Liberals (47 per cent) but a significant number of Green Voters are not sure (36 per cent),” Maggi said.
In the poll’s overall picture, what's clear is an electorate that was very dissatisfied with the Christy Clark government, as just 28 per cent of voters said they would like to see the B.C. Liberals returning to government.
Instead, the clear preference is for the NDP: 51 per cent said it was time for the centre-left party to form government, with a further 21 per cent calling for the Greens to be in charge.
Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 1,650 British Columbians from May 11-13. The margin of error for survey results is plus-minus 2.41 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
The number of absentee ballots that will be counted between May 22nd and May 24th, according to Elections BC, is 179,380. Meantime, recounts are taking place in several ridings, including a contentious one on Vancouver Island where the NDP candidate won by just nine votes.